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Morning brief · Day Trading

TSMC Crushes Earnings but Stock Stumbles on Spending Fears

Taiwan's chip giant posted record $22 billion profit and beat on both EPS and revenue, yet investors are balking at rising capex plans. Here's what day traders watched.

Taiwan's chip giant posted record $22 billion profit and beat on both EPS and revenue, yet investors are balking at rising capex plans. Here's what day traders watched.

The Beat and the Pivot

TSMC delivered a classic earnings setup: crushes the numbers, stock sells off anyway. The Taiwanese semiconductor manufacturer reported Q2 net profit of $22 billion, a 77% year-over-year jump. On the earnings-per-share front, the company posted $4.31 versus consensus expectations of $3.82—a 49-cent beat. Revenue clocked $40.2 billion, topping forecasts by $600 million. By any traditional measure, this is a home run.

Why the Market Shrugged

The reaction tells a familiar story: market participants care less about what you made last quarter than what you'll spend next quarter. Despite stellar profitability, TSMC's stock faced meaningful pressure as investors parsed the capex guidance and balance sheet implications. The disconnect is classic: massive absolute profits don't necessarily translate to near-term share gains if reinvestment plans or valuation already price in the upside. It's a growth-versus-value tension playing out in real time.

Key Levels for the Session

For day traders watching the session, support held around $418.95, while resistance sat at $437.98. The stock's post-earnings gap created intraday volatility as competing narratives battled: bulls citing record profitability and strong demand signals, bears citing forward-looking spending concerns. The real observation was watching where institutional flow decided to camp, and whether early-session weakness was capitulation or the beginning of a deeper pullback.

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The tapeStrong fundamentals met skepticism about future spending; typical post-earnings disagreement between bulls and bears.