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Geopolitics

Geopolitics

US Strikes Iran for Sixth Night as Oil Jumps Past $87

The US military has conducted six consecutive nights of airstrikes on Iranian infrastructure. Brent crude has jumped roughly 12% this week as geopolitical tensions raise concerns about Middle East energy supplies.

2 min read
Geopolitics

Oil Hits $84 on Hormuz Tension; EM Rate Cuts on Hold

Brent crude surged to $84.66 amid renewed blockade fears in the Strait of Hormuz, forcing central banks in Latin America to reconsider interest-rate cuts and pushing Treasury yields to their highest level since mid-May.

2 min read
Geopolitics

Congress Must Extend 10% Tariff by July 24 or Face Trade Reset

A key Trump-era tariff tool expires July 24 unless lawmakers act. The administration is already laying groundwork for replacement tariffs targeting forced labor and manufacturing overcapacity across 60 economies.

2 min read
Geopolitics

US Rejects USMCA Renewal, Trade Renegotiation Looms

The United States declined to renew the USMCA in its current form as of July 1, leaving the agreement's future uncertain. The three nations will now haggle over terms, with automotive and agriculture in the crosshairs.

2 min read
Geopolitics

Oil Spikes 6% as Trump Declares Iran Ceasefire 'Over'

Energy markets jolted higher after Trump signaled renewed conflict with Iran, while shipping through a critical chokepoint remains severely restricted at just 5% of normal traffic levels.

2 min read
Geopolitics

USMCA Renegotiation Looms in 2026; Trump Signals Major Changes

The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement faces a mandatory renegotiation review on July 1, 2026, with the Trump administration already signaling it will demand changes on rules of origin, critical minerals, and economic security.

2 min read
Geopolitics

Hezbollah Rejects Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Deal

A ceasefire framework between Israel and Lebanon faces immediate rejection from Hezbollah's leadership, signaling continued conflict as Israeli forces show no signs of withdrawing.

2 min read
Geopolitics

Iran Exits US Talks After Military Strikes Escalate Tensions

Days after signing a memorandum of understanding, Iran canceled participation in technical negotiations with the US following military escalation. The collapse underscores deteriorating diplomatic prospects amid severe economic strain.

2 min read
Geopolitics

Iran Demands Hormuz Strait Control, Threatening Global Oil Routes

Tehran's Revolutionary Guard warned vessels to use only Iran-approved routes through the critical waterway after Oman introduced an alternative corridor. The standoff risks disrupting the 20% of global oil and LNG that flows through the strait.

2 min read
Geopolitics

Trump Admin Approves $700M Jet Engine Sale to Turkey

The administration is advancing a sale of GE engines for Turkey's KAAN fighter jet ahead of a NATO summit in Ankara. A separate review of Turkey's F-35 eligibility is also underway.

2 min read